Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co., Ltd.’s (SHSE:688687) robust earnings report didn’t manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
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A Closer Look At Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding’s Earnings
Many investors haven’t heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company’s profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company’s profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it’s worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding has an accrual ratio of 0.35 for the year to September 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥133m despite its profit of CN¥134.3m, mentioned above. We also note that Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding’s free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥133m. However, that’s not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding’s profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥23m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it’s surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that’s exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding doesn’t see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we’d expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
Our Take On Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding’s Profit Performance
In conclusion, Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding’s accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don’t think Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding’s statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So if you’d like to dive deeper into this stock, it’s crucial to consider any risks it’s facing. To help with this, we’ve discovered 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding.
Our examination of Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.