December 21, 2024
Tax

Countries can raise $2 trillion by copying spain’s wealth tax, study finds


Ending special tax treatment afforded to superrich can cover estimated climate finance needs

  • Following the example of Spain’s “featherlight” wealth tax on the 0.5% richest households would see countries raise $2.1 trillion a year globally
  • Evidence shows tax reforms targeting extreme wealth have not resulted in the superrich relocating to other countries
  • On average, just 3% of each country’s wealth is owned by half its population, while its richest 0.5% own a quarter
  • Extreme wealth is making economies insecure and is directly linked to people having to spend more than they bring in
  • Two-tie treatment of wealth (lower taxes on collected wealth, ie dividends, rent, capital gains; higher taxes on earned wealth, ie salaries) is fuelling extreme wealth and making economies poorer than the sum of their parts

Countries can raise $2.1 trillion a year by following the example of Spain’s successful wealth tax on the 0.5% richest households1 – that’s double the amount needed annually for developing countries’ external climate finance, expected to be at the centre of COP29 negotiations this year.2

The new study from the Tax Justice Network published today, and airing on BBC World TV this morning, estimates how much revenue each country can individually raise by taxing the wealth of only the richest 0.5% of its households at a feather-light rate of 1.7% to 3.5%. The wealth tax would only apply to the upper crust of the households’ wealth rather than all their wealth.3

While the study replicates the approach of the Spanish wealth tax for each country, the study extends the tax to all classes of wealth in its modelling. This removes some exemptions within the Spanish law which weaken its impact.4 The study finds that on average each country could raise the equivalent of 7% of its spending budget.

The study documents that previous tax reforms targeting the superrich did not result in the superrich relocating to other countries, despite media headlines claiming the contrary. Just 0.01% of the richest households relocated after wealth tax reforms targeting the richest households were implemented in Norway, Sweden and Denmark. A UK study predicts that non-dom status reforms would see a migration rate of between just 0.02% and a maximum of 3.2%.

The study’s estimates on how much tax countries can raise with wealth taxes conservatively assumes that such a migration rate of 3.2% would occur.5

Two-tier treatment of wealth is making economies insecure

The huge sums to be raised from the modest wealth tax are possible due to the extreme levels of wealth collected by the very richest. The study finds that on average, in each country, just 3% of all wealth is owned by half the population, while the richest 0.5% own a quarter (25.7%) of the wealth.

This extreme wealth among the superrich, the report documents, is making economies insecure and is directly linked to lower economic productivity6; to non-rich households having to spend more than they bring in7; and to poorer societal outcomes such as worse educational attainment8 and shorter lifespans9.

The root of the problem is the two-tier treatment of collected wealth and earned wealth, the Tax Justice Network argues. Collected wealth – ie dividends, capital gains and rent gained from owning things – is typically taxed at far lower rates than earned wealth – ie salaries gained by working. At the same time, collected wealth typically grows faster than earned wealth. Today, only half of the wealth created around the world each year goes to people who earn for a living – the rest is collected as rent, interest, dividends and capital gains.10

While the superrich might work and have jobs, virtually all their wealth comes from owning business and real estate empires, not from working in those empires. Any work salaries they might earn are a drop in their wealth bucket. Three out of the five richest men on Forbes’ Billionaire List 2024 earn $1 salaries: Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg and Larry Elison.11 According to a 2011 study, the average “$1 CEO” gives up $610k in salary but gains $2m in other ownership-based compensation.12

The two-tier treatment has produced extreme results when it comes to the very richest individuals. Billionaires tend to pay tax rates that are just half the rates paid by the rest of society.13 And their wealth grows at twice the rate as that of the rest of society.14 This has contributed to the wealth of the 0.0001% quadrupling since 1987, to the detriment of economies, societies and planet.15

Crucially, the extreme accumulation of wealth doesn’t just create extreme imbalances that have harmful consequences, it renders that accumulated wealth less economically productive – for example by diverting disproportionally more wealth towards speculative derivatives instead of goods and services in the “real” economy.16 The Tax Justice Network’s spokesperson attributes this to “why the world might not feel any richer today despite there being more wealth than ever before.”

The two-tier treatment of how people gain wealth amplifies this trend. By enabling collected wealth to dramatically outpace earned wealth, the two-tier treatment nudges wealth towards forms that are less productive and are out of the reach of wealth earners, while increasing indebtedness among non-rich households.

The Tax Justice Network is calling on governments to put an end to the two-tier treatment of wealth by introducing wealth taxes. The report provides countries with detailed guidance on how to implement wealth tax laws modelled in the study and based on Spain’s example.

Mark Bou Mansour, head of communications at the Tax Justice Network, said:

“Our economies were designed to let people earn the wealth they need to lead secure and comfortable lives, but our tax rules make it easier for the superrich to collect wealth than for the rest of us to earn it. This has let the superrich collect extreme wealth to the point of making our economies insecure and making it scarcely pay to earn a living.

“There’s this idea that billionaires earn wealth like everybody else, they’re just better at it. This is bogus. It’s impossible to earn a billion dollars. The average US worker would have to work for a stretch of time 13 times longer than humans have existed to earn as much as wealth as the world’s richest man has today. Salaries don’t make billionaires, dividends and rent money do. But we tax dividends and rent money much less than we tax salaries, and this is destabilising the earner model our economies are based on.17

“By definition, a billionaire owns more wealth than an average US household could spend in 10,000 years. Wealth contributes a lot less to the economy than it can when it’s pharaoh-tombed like this, making economies poorer than the sum of their parts.18

“To make our economies secure and protect the earner way of life that has defined the modern era, we need wealth taxes that end the two-tier treatment of wealth.”

Governments must act on huge public demand for wealth taxes

Recent polling shows overwhelming public support for wealth taxes on the superrich in several countries. A 68% majority of adults across 17 G20 countries are in favour of wealthy people paying a higher tax on their wealth as a means of funding major changes to the economy and lifestyles.18 Nearly three quarters of millionaires polled in G20 countries support higher taxes on wealth and over half of them think extreme wealth is a “threat to democracy”.19

The G20’s recent proposal for a 2% minimum wealth tax on billionaires has been positively received by policymakers and campaigners alike.20 Designed to replicate the planned global minimum corporate tax rate, the G20’s proposal will require most countries to come on board or an international agreement to be put in place. Meanwhile, countries can domestically proceed and follow the example of Spain’s wealth tax law today.

While the G20 wealth tax proposal’s targeting of billionaires will primarily address the most extreme wealth concentrations in rich countries, following suit on Spain’s wealth tax law which more widely targets the 0.5% will allow all countries to tackle extreme wealth concentration in their economies. (A comparison of the two complementary proposals is shared in note 22 below.)

The success of any wealth tax proposal ultimately depends on countries cooperating on tax transparency. While warnings of the superrich reallocating in response to wealth taxes have proven to be unfounded, the superrich’s ability to use secrecy jurisdictions and financial secrecy to hide their wealth from tax administrations can keep wealth taxes from being fully effective. To make wealth taxes truly effective, countries must make sure the UN tax convention22 currently being negotiated delivers robust tax transparency standards, the Tax Justice Network explains.

Alison Schultz, research fellow at the Tax Justice Network and one of the report’s authors, said:

“The vast majority of countries are currently working on what can be the biggest shakeup in history to global tax rules, to end the scourge of global tax abuse by multinational corporations and the superrich. But a minority of rich countries still seem to be holding back from support for a robust framework convention on tax – despite this being the best opportunity that we’ve ever had, and one that their own people demand they act on with urgency. Some of the same countries are blocking real progress on climate COP29 – stopping the world from clawing back trillions in tax from tax havens in one meeting, and then claiming in the other meeting that there’s no money for the climate crisis. This needs to change now – the climate can’t wait, and nor can the people of the world.”

-ENDS-

Read the report

Notes to editors

  1. The new study by the Tax Justice Network is available here. Estimates for each country are available in this excel sheet. The excel sheet can be used as an interactive tool to explore the impact of different wealth tax rates.
  2. During COP27, the Independent High Level Expert Group (IHLEG) stated that annual investments in climate action need to increase by $2.4 trillion annually by 2030 for developing countries (excluding China) to ensure accelerated energy transition, investment in resilience and the protection of nature. Out of this, $1.4 trillion needs to be mobilised from domestic sources, whereas $1 trillion a year will be needed in external climate finance by 2030. The $2.1 trillion countries could raise from replicating Spain’s wealth tax could raise more than twice the amount needed to cover the latter figure need in external climate finance.
  3. The modelled wealth tax employs a progressive wealth rate, following the structure of the Spanish wealth tax. A tax rate of 1.7% is applied on wealth above the 0.5% threshold; a rate of 2.1% is applied wealth above the 0.1% threshold; and a rate of 3.5% is applied to wealth above the 0.05% threshold. Globally, the wealth tax would apply to only 0.003% of the global population. Similar to how income taxes apply to only a portion of a salary, the modelled wealth tax only applies to the portion of households’ wealth above the defined thresholds. Wealth below these thresholds would not be taxed. In Switzerland for example, the 0.5% wealth threshold is about US$11 million. The modelled wealth tax only applies to the wealth a Swiss household owns above US$11 million. The Swiss household’s first eleven millions would not be taxed.
  4. For example, the Spanish wealth tax exempts shares from listed firms, intellectual property and industrial property, and some high value assets like boats and aircrafts.
  5. In theory, if all countries implement wealth taxes, relocating would be made redundant as would the migration rate applied in the study’s tax revenues estimates. Additionally, even if all countries don’t implement wealth taxes, countries can take individual steps – detailed in the report – to ensure the right amount of tax is still collected from long-term residents who relocate following the introduction of wealth tax reforms.
  6. Research shows large rise in wealth among the 1% in the US over the past 40 years did not lead to more investments, and instead resulted in dissaving among non-rich households. Research also shows that “a large rise in inequality generates a saving glut of the rich, which can push an economy into a debt trap characterized by low interest rates, high debt levels, and output below potential”. Indebtedness of non-wealthy households brought on by extreme wealth of the richest households brings about lower productivity. Conversely, another study found that wealth taxes resulted in more investments.
  7. Research shows large rise in savings among the 1% in the US over the past 40 years brought on dissaving among non-rich households.
  8. Wealth inequality has been shown to leads to worse and more unequal education outcomes.
  9. Wealth inequality has been shown to be sufficiently extreme that progressive wealth redistribution could add 2.2 years to the US population’s life expectancy as a whole.
  10. According to the International Labor Organisation (ILO), “The share of global income earned by workers has declined from 53.7% in 2004 to 51.4% in 2017. This implies that the share of capital income has increased from 46.3% to 48.6%.”
  11. Forbes’ 2024 World’s Billionaires list identifies as the world’s richest people, in descending order: Bernard Arnault & family, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg and Larry Ellisson. More information on $1 CEOs here.
  12. The 2011 study, “Why Do Some CEOs Work for a One-Dollar Salary?”, is available here.
  13. The EU Tax Observatory reports: “In France, for instance, the working class (which can be defined as individuals in the bottom 50% of the income distribution), the middle-class (the next 40%), the upper-middle class (the next 9%) and even most of the top 1% have effective tax rates close to the macroeconomic tax rate of 52%. Billionaires, by contrast, only pay 27% of their income in taxes all taxes included.”
  14. The EU Tax Observatory reports: “Between 1987 and 2024, the average wealth of the top 0.0001% richest households globally increased by about 7% a year on average net of inflation, much faster than the rate of 3% at which average wealth increased.”
  15. According to the EU Tax Observatory’s G20-commissioned report on wealth tax.
  16. See note 6.
  17. The average US salary is reported at $59,428. Bernard Arnaut was reported to be the world’s richest man with a wealth of $233 billion by Forbes’ 2024 World’s Billionaires list. We calculate: 233,000,000,000 / 59,428 = 3.9 million. Humans emerged 300,000 years ago. We calculate: 3.9 million / 300 thousand = 13.
  18. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average U.S. household spent $72,967 in 2022. We calculate: 1,000,000,000 / 72,967 = 13,704.
  19. See Earth4All’s polling here.
  20. See Oxfam’s polling here.
  21. Read more here about calls for wealth taxes on the superrich gaining traction around the world.
  22. Read our statement on the G20 wealth tax proposal.
  23. See our comparison table on wealth tax proposals.
Progressive wealth tax
Billionaire minimum tax
Proposal  TJN/Palanský/Schultz EUTO/Zucman
Basis  Extended version of Spain’s ‘solidarity surcharge’ Application of GloBE corporate minimum tax approach to billionaires
Level  National Global
What is taxed?  Wealth of most wealthy 0.5% of individuals in each country. Globally, c 26.5 million people, which is 0.003% of global population Undertaxed income of most wealthy c.3,000 people globally
Annual revenue  $2.1 trillion $200-$250 billion (plus $100-$140 billion if tax extended to those with wealth over $100m)
Distribution of revenues  Each country (if adopting) Location of billionaires, mainly richest countries (if adopting)
National implementation aspects  Governments can draw on the specific example of the Spanish solidarity surcharge; and also on the model wealth tax law currently under development by the UN tax committee. While a detailed proposal is yet to be agreed, the G20 continues to discuss. The ongoing negotiation of the UN framework convention on international tax cooperation also provides a potential forum to agree implementation.
International cooperation aspects  Immediate national enactment is feasible and desirable. Over time, for full effectiveness, greater international cooperation will be valuable. This includes addressing the shortcomings in the current arrangements for the automatic exchange of financial account information, and the lack of consistent public registers of the ultimate beneficial ownership of companies and other legal vehicles (including the creation of a global asset register). These are important aspects to include in the negotiation of the UN framework convention on international tax cooperation. Greater international cooperation will be necessary for implementation. This includes agreeing rules for ‘topping up’ undertaxed wealth (possibly on complex lines similar to the OECD GloBE model for corporate tax), and also addressing the shortcomings in the current arrangements for the automatic exchange of financial account information, and the lack of consistent public registers of the ultimate beneficial ownership of companies and other legal vehicles (including the creation of a global asset register). These are important aspects to include in the negotiation of the UN framework convention on international tax cooperation.

23.  Keep up to date with ongoing negotiations on the UN tax convention here.



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